{"id":15567,"date":"2022-07-19T11:01:51","date_gmt":"2022-07-19T10:01:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/?p=15567"},"modified":"2022-07-19T11:01:51","modified_gmt":"2022-07-19T10:01:51","slug":"moscow-signals-a-shift-to-a-more-aggressive-phase-of-ukraine-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/fr\/moscow-signals-a-shift-to-a-more-aggressive-phase-of-ukraine-war\/","title":{"rendered":"Moscow signals a shift to a more aggressive phase of Ukraine war"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In an indication that Russian forces were ending what they called an operational pause in their invasion of Ukraine, the defense minister of Russia, Sergei Shoigu, on Saturday ordered his forces to intensify attacks \u201cin all operational sectors\u201d of the war.<\/p>\n<p>As the Ukrainian government disclosed modest new ground attacks by Russian forces, the Russian defense ministry said in a statement that Shoigu had instructed that combat be intensified to stop Ukraine from shelling civilian areas in Russian-occupied territory.<\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-1499653692894-0\" class=\"jt_content_ad\"><\/div>\n<p>After deadly Russian missile strikes across Ukraine in recent days that killed civilians, the statement was a new signal from Moscow that its invasion may be entering a more aggressive phase.<\/p>\n<p>Shoigu\u2019s statement appeared to be a response to Ukraine\u2019s new ability to hit Russian targets in occupied areas due to more advanced, longer-range Western weapons, including the U.S. HIMARS precision-guided rocket systems and the French Caesar artillery pieces. Ukraine claims to have hit at least 30 Russian ammunition and logistics sites with the new longer-range weapons in the past two weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this month, Russian President Vladimir Putin suggested to lawmakers that Russia would escalate the war. \u201cEveryone should know that, by and large, we have not started anything seriously yet,\u201d Putin said.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"post-3473676 media-3473676\" class=\"align_center inline_image single_block large\"><a class=\"fresco\" href=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/np_file_171199.jpeg\" data-fresco-group=\"inline-images\" data-fresco-group-options=\"ui:'inside'\" data-fresco-caption=\"The wreckage of a car burns in a crater after a Russian missile strike in Dnipro, in central Ukraine, on Friday. Indiscriminate Russian attacks on civilian areas have become a hallmark of its invasion, and this week, an international conference in The Hague sought to coordinate an approach to the overwhelming allegations of war crimes in Ukraine. | DANIEL BEREHULAK \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/np_file_171199.jpeg\" alt=\"The wreckage of a car burns in a crater after a Russian missile strike in Dnipro, in central Ukraine, on Friday. Indiscriminate Russian attacks on civilian areas have become a hallmark of its invasion, and this week, an international conference in The Hague sought to coordinate an approach to the overwhelming allegations of war crimes in Ukraine. | DANIEL BEREHULAK \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES\" \/><\/a><figcaption>The wreckage of a car burns in a crater after a Russian missile strike in Dnipro, in central Ukraine, on Friday. Indiscriminate Russian attacks on civilian areas have become a hallmark of its invasion, and this week, an international conference in The Hague sought to coordinate an approach to the overwhelming allegations of war crimes in Ukraine. | DANIEL BEREHULAK \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>There were signs of new ground fighting in the hotly contested Donbas region, where Russian forces have taken one of its provinces, Luhansk, and are trying to take the rest of another, Donetsk, as well. Ukrainian military and regional officials reported five probing attacks along the crescent-shaped front line in the Donbas.<\/p>\n<p>Ukrainian troops using \u201cheavy fire\u201d repelled a renewed overnight ground assault to capture the main road link between the cities of Lysychansk and Bakhmut, said Serhii Haidai, military governor of Luhansk, an assertion echoed in a report Saturday by Ukraine\u2019s general staff. The road has been bitterly contested for months.<\/p>\n<p>The latest analysis by the Institute for the Study of War said Russian forces were \u201clikely emerging from their operational pause,\u201d citing a series of limited ground assaults northwest of Sloviansk, southeast of Siversk, along the Bakhmut-Lysychansk highway and southwest of the city of Donetsk. \u201cThese assaults may indicate that Russian forces are attempting to resume their offensive operations in Donbas,\u201d the analysis said, while noting that \u201cthe assaults are still small-scale and were largely unsuccessful.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Some soldiers serving on front-line positions in the Donetsk region question whether the Russians ever actually paused, saying they have been under constant attack on the ground and with artillery and aerial bombardment.<\/p>\n<p>The sound of heavy explosions is often audible from the front-line cities of Sloviansk and Bakhmut. Smoke from fires dots the horizon south and east of Bakhmut, where Russian forces have been trying to advance.<\/p>\n<p>A rocket hit a small fruit-and-vegetable market in Bakhmut on Friday afternoon, wounding several people. Early Saturday, three more rockets struck a factory and a house in Kostiantynivka but without causing any casualties. \u201cMy cafe is broken. Factories are smashed. Everything is closed,\u201d said Vitaliy, 40, as he repaired the boards on his cafe windows the day after the blast. \u201cThere is nothing left. What will the people buy?\u201d<\/p>\n<figure id=\"post-3473679 media-3473679\" class=\"align_center inline_image single_block large\"><a class=\"fresco\" href=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/np_file_171198.jpeg\" data-fresco-group=\"inline-images\" data-fresco-group-options=\"ui:'inside'\" data-fresco-caption=\"A shop hit by shelling Saturday in Bakhmut, Ukraine, on Saturday, where Russian troops are trying to advance. Ukrainian military officials said Ukrainian troops repelled an overnight assault by Russia to capture the main road link between the cities of Lysychansk and Bakhmut. | MAURICIO LIMA \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/np_file_171198.jpeg\" alt=\"A shop hit by shelling Saturday in Bakhmut, Ukraine, on Saturday, where Russian troops are trying to advance. Ukrainian military officials said Ukrainian troops repelled an overnight assault by Russia to capture the main road link between the cities of Lysychansk and Bakhmut. | MAURICIO LIMA \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES\" \/><\/a><figcaption>A shop hit by shelling Saturday in Bakhmut, Ukraine, on Saturday, where Russian troops are trying to advance. Ukrainian military officials said Ukrainian troops repelled an overnight assault by Russia to capture the main road link between the cities of Lysychansk and Bakhmut. | MAURICIO LIMA \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In the early hours of Saturday, at least three civilians were killed and three more were injured in a Russian rocket strike on the northern Ukrainian city of Chuhuiv, about 75 miles from the Russian border, regional police said.<\/p>\n<p>In the neighboring Sumy region, one civilian was killed and at least seven more were injured after Russians opened mortar and artillery fire on three towns and villages not far from the Russian border, the regional governor said Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>In Donetsk, seven civilians were killed and 14 more injured, the regional governor said Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>The major strike came Thursday, when a Russian submarine fired cruise missiles into the heart of Vinnytsia, a city of 370,000 people about 125 miles southwest of Kyiv, the capital.<\/p>\n<p>Ukrainian officials said that strike killed at least 23 people, including a 4-year-old girl with Down syndrome, causing outrage in Ukraine and the West.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"post-3473682 media-3473682\" class=\"align_center inline_image single_block large\"><a class=\"fresco\" href=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/np_file_171200.jpeg\" data-fresco-group=\"inline-images\" data-fresco-group-options=\"ui:'inside'\" data-fresco-caption=\"A Ukrainian soldier plays with a puppy as he speaks on his phone near the front lines in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine on Thursday. | MAURICIO LIMA \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/np_file_171200.jpeg\" alt=\"A Ukrainian soldier plays with a puppy as he speaks on his phone near the front lines in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine on Thursday. | MAURICIO LIMA \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES\" \/><\/a><figcaption>A Ukrainian soldier plays with a puppy as he speaks on his phone near the front lines in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine on Thursday. | MAURICIO LIMA \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The Russian defense ministry said the strike on Vinnytsia was directed at a building where top officials from Ukraine\u2019s armed forces were meeting foreign arms suppliers. Ukrainian officials have denied that the building contained military targets.<\/p>\n<p>The war is causing significant economic stress in the rest of the world, reducing global growth both this year and next, Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, told a hybrid meeting of Group of 20 finance ministers and heads of central banks.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe war in Ukraine has intensified, exerting added pressures on commodity and food prices,\u201d she said in a statement Saturday. \u201cGlobal financial conditions are tightening more than previously anticipated. And continuing pandemic-related disruptions and renewed bottlenecks in global supply chains are weighing on economic activity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Adding to the stress in Germany, which has been dependent on Russian energy, was a new statement by the Russian gas monopoly, Gazprom, urging German company Siemens to return a turbine it has repaired in Canada to ensure the Nord Stream 1 pipeline delivering gas to Europe can resume working after a 10-day maintenance period that began Monday.<\/p>\n<p>Despite Western sanctions on Russia, Canada has agreed to grant what it has described as a time-limited and revocable permit for Siemens Canada to allow the turbine\u2019s return. But Gazprom claims it has received no guarantees that the unit will be returned.<\/p>\n<p>Germany was already coping with a 60% reduction in gas supplies through that pipeline, amid fears that Russia will not resume deliveries after maintenance. Conservative politicians have revived debate on extending the life of the country\u2019s three remaining nuclear power plants, which produce about 6% of Germany\u2019s electricity, a sensitive topic for the Greens, now in government. The plants are supposed to be shut down by the end of this year.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"post-3473685 media-3473685\" class=\"align_center inline_image single_block large\"><a class=\"fresco\" href=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/np_file_171201.jpeg\" data-fresco-group=\"inline-images\" data-fresco-group-options=\"ui:'inside'\" data-fresco-caption=\"A resident walks by the entrance of a destroyed bazaar hit by shelling Saturday in Bakhmut, Ukraine, on Saturday, where Russian troops are trying to advance. Bakhmut has been battered by shelling this week, as Russia seeks to take the remaining Ukrainian-held areas of Donetsk province. | MAURICIO LIMA \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/np_file_171201.jpeg\" alt=\"A resident walks by the entrance of a destroyed bazaar hit by shelling Saturday in Bakhmut, Ukraine, on Saturday, where Russian troops are trying to advance. Bakhmut has been battered by shelling this week, as Russia seeks to take the remaining Ukrainian-held areas of Donetsk province. | MAURICIO LIMA \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES\" \/><\/a><figcaption>A resident walks by the entrance of a destroyed bazaar hit by shelling Saturday in Bakhmut, Ukraine, on Saturday, where Russian troops are trying to advance. Bakhmut has been battered by shelling this week, as Russia seeks to take the remaining Ukrainian-held areas of Donetsk province. | MAURICIO LIMA \/ THE NEW YORK TIMES<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The European Union has banned the import of Russian coal, but a ban it imposed on oil imports is only gradual and partial. And there is no agreement on banning imports of natural gas. Brussels has also compromised on allowing Gazprom to be paid effectively in rubles, as Russia has demanded, with euro deposits into Gazprom\u2019s own bank immediately shifted into rubles.<\/p>\n<p>The EU has also backed off on enforcing full sanctions on goods moving from mainland Russia to the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad on the Baltic Sea. The enclave is separated from the rest of Russia by Poland and Lithuania; Lithuania created tensions with Moscow by announcing that it would impose EU sanctions on Russian goods traveling by train to Russian Kaliningrad through Lithuania.<\/p>\n<p>After fierce Russian complaints, Brussels \u201cupdated\u201d its guidelines and said Russia would be allowed to transport civilian-use goods on the sanctions list through Lithuania by rail \u2014 though not by road \u2014 in amounts comparable to pre-invasion deliveries over the past three years.<\/p>\n<p>There can be targeted checks, Brussels said, to ensure that sanctioned military and dual-use goods and related technologies are not part of the rail shipments.<\/p>\n<p>As Russia seeks more answers to counter the newer NATO mobile artillery systems, it has turned to Iran to explore buying that country\u2019s sophisticated armed drones, the U.S. national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, said last week. On Saturday, a senior American official said that satellite images showed a Russian delegation visiting Iran to view unmanned, weapons-capable drones that could be purchased for use in the war in Ukraine and that could be used to better target the new NATO artillery in counter-battery strikes.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Read the article on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/news\/2022\/07\/17\/world\/moscow-shift-aggressive-ukraine-war\/\">Japan Times<\/a>, originally published in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/07\/16\/world\/europe\/russia-ukraine-donbas-shoigu-pause.html\">New York Times.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In an indication that Russian forces were ending what they called an operational pause in their invasion of Ukraine, the defense minister of Russia, Sergei Shoigu, on Saturday ordered his<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":15185,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[153],"class_list":["post-15567","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-room","tag-153"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15567","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15567"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15567\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15185"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15567"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15567"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.worldpolicyconference.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15567"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}